Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 21.765677 24.664232 27.826529 31.536165 35.773180 40.466858 46.067883
2025-02-02 17.882075 21.880576 26.607284 32.622130 40.094680 49.101480 60.824163
2025-02-09 14.818635 19.341572 25.062917 32.866127 43.286512 56.798697 75.772643
2025-02-16 12.241813 16.882107 23.101918 32.107296 44.910943 62.608714 89.180613
2025-02-23 10.371442 15.006411 21.542234 31.516884 46.509225 68.447984 103.431096
2025-03-02 8.969910 13.543772 20.291206 31.086105 48.144007 74.427649 118.703468
2025-03-09 7.952080 12.479874 19.438958 31.062610 50.293658 81.371315 136.459946
2025-03-16 7.100385 11.541788 18.628168 30.941052 52.192408 88.081530 154.787736
2025-03-23 6.628568 11.141592 18.603906 32.070302 56.278789 98.941852 181.981608
2025-03-30 6.051588 10.485238 18.057995 32.204144 58.601700 106.983205 205.258179
2025-04-06 5.418243 9.650229 17.095052 31.448185 59.164380 111.829749 223.112222
2025-04-13 4.907763 8.971616 16.323163 30.927852 60.064820 117.375007 243.152626
2025-04-20 4.646112 8.732928 16.350428 31.978935 64.274535 130.216274 281.029781
2025-04-27 4.456060 8.608066 16.578520 33.460712 69.586574 146.147947 328.631637
2025-05-04 4.165830 8.253438 16.317229 33.910312 72.802823 158.150250 369.627546
2025-05-11 3.791630 7.687082 15.565484 33.226432 73.453911 164.612400 398.754658
2025-05-18 3.471682 7.196038 14.911171 32.665109 74.293289 171.618442 430.527983
2025-05-25 3.198924 6.773928 14.353323 32.243575 75.390278 179.386647 465.719210
2025-06-01 2.987825 6.461404 13.995933 32.232476 77.460430 189.827160 510.009782
2025-06-08 2.788804 6.153712 13.614194 32.112906 79.244164 199.823380 555.055898
2025-06-15 2.699694 6.084123 13.762386 33.291173 84.482213 219.576460 631.928695
2025-06-22 2.547206 5.851524 13.506414 33.432308 87.040680 232.600439 691.638408
2025-06-29 2.350525 5.494151 12.916079 32.646780 87.002800 238.481903 730.699442